Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.017990 0.019303 0.020665 0.022184 0.023833 0.025569 0.027539
2026-01-25 0.015797 0.017691 0.019755 0.022174 0.024940 0.028010 0.031687
2026-02-01 0.014204 0.016413 0.018906 0.021940 0.025545 0.029711 0.034913
2026-02-08 0.012942 0.015331 0.018105 0.021584 0.025851 0.030945 0.037532
2026-02-15 0.012027 0.014552 0.017558 0.021424 0.026299 0.032288 0.040273
2026-02-22 0.011232 0.013844 0.017020 0.021198 0.026597 0.033402 0.042728
2026-03-01 0.010581 0.013260 0.016582 0.021042 0.026936 0.034540 0.045233
2026-03-08 0.010008 0.012734 0.016173 0.020880 0.027227 0.035598 0.047650
2026-03-15 0.009588 0.012375 0.015950 0.020932 0.027783 0.037009 0.050602
2026-03-22 0.009158 0.011976 0.015648 0.020849 0.028132 0.038133 0.053189
2026-03-29 0.008786 0.011633 0.015396 0.020810 0.028525 0.039318 0.055907
2026-04-05 0.008425 0.011284 0.015115 0.020708 0.028811 0.040349 0.058436
2026-04-12 0.008089 0.010966 0.014877 0.020677 0.029227 0.041632 0.061496
2026-04-19 0.007816 0.010725 0.014736 0.020778 0.029840 0.043241 0.065169
2026-04-26 0.007470 0.010364 0.014404 0.020578 0.029986 0.044146 0.067778
2026-05-03 0.007113 0.009968 0.014003 0.020250 0.029913 0.044697 0.069836
2026-05-10 0.006833 0.009672 0.013732 0.020102 0.030101 0.045652 0.072600
2026-05-17 0.006556 0.009367 0.013433 0.019892 0.030175 0.046420 0.075082
2026-05-24 0.006314 0.009106 0.013186 0.019747 0.030339 0.047332 0.077853
2026-05-31 0.006087 0.008855 0.012944 0.019596 0.030481 0.048205 0.080599
2026-06-07 0.005923 0.008694 0.012832 0.019644 0.030945 0.049632 0.084406
2026-06-14 0.005738 0.008494 0.012649 0.019567 0.031192 0.050697 0.087619
2026-06-21 0.005574 0.008318 0.012496 0.019531 0.031503 0.051882 0.091116